Sri Lanka vs Bangladesh Betting Winner Prediction
Recommended Bet: Back Bangladesh to win @ 2.54 with Pure Win.
If you were to back the side chasing at this year’s Asia Cup every time there was a match at Dubai, you’d definitely end up in profit. Let’s repeat that: definitely.
But then again, there’s surely more to betting than adopting a one-size-fits-all strategy and ignoring all the other factors.
For example, would you honestly want to be backing Hong Kong (even at huge odds of 25.0) if they were chasing against India in Wednesday’s match? No, probably not.
And the point here is that Sri Lanka are far too short at odds of 1.53. Yes, they have a strong head-to-head record against Bangladesh but that’s just about the only thing going for them.
If anything, they were far more soundly beaten by Afghanistan than Bangladesh were.
At least the Tigers put up a decent fight defending their total and on another day could well have won. Sri Lanka looked like losing pretty much from the first few overs.
There’s not much to choose between them in terms of players, either. Both have two or three really top-class players with the others either out of form or not that great to begin with.
So if we back Bangladesh at 2.54, we’ll have them at great odds should they get to chase.
And even if they don’t chase, they’re a far better bet than the Lankans at a short price. It’s an easy choice.
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Sri Lanka vs Bangladesh Odds for Hot Bet
Recommended Bet: Back Shakib Al-Hasan to be Bangladesh’s Top Bowler @ 4.33 with Betway
The thing about Shakib is that he rarely disappoints.
He’ll either make a serious contribution with the bat, or he’ll do it with the ball. Very often both.
In the last match, it was the middle one: getting out to a good delivery for just 11 but putting in a huge performance with the ball, taking 1-13 from his four overs. How the Tigers wish he could bowl more than four overs. Or that they had another Shakib.
He was our tip at 5.2 to be their top bowler and to say we were unlucky not to win is putting it mildly.
He took one wicket, as did M. Hossain and M. Saifuddin.
Now, as per Betway market rules, if two or more players take the same number of wickets, it goes down to the number of runs conceded.
Shakib conceded 13, Hossain just 12. See why we were unlucky?
But it’s worth persisting with the man who is their best bowler to get it right this time. Shakib it is.
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Sri Lanka’s Recent Form
Sri Lanka put in a truly awful performance in the opening match of the Asia Cup against Afghanistan, doing just about everything wrong.
They posted just 105 batting first with only Bhanuka Rajapaksa playing an innings of any substance, scoring 38 off 289.
It’s a good thing for us that he did because we had him at odds of 5.5 to be their top scorer, so that was a good win for us.
With the ball they were unable to put any pressure on Afghanistan, who cruised to a big win, losing just two wickets and getting home with plenty of balls to spare.
There can’t be too many excuses because it’s not like they’re missing any important players.
Instead, they’re just going through a period where they’re low on talent and will have days where the few class players have a bad game and they lose badly.
Still. Win this and they’re through to the next round anyway.
Sri Lanka’s Likely XI
Mendis, Nissanka, Asalanka, Gunathilaka, Rajapaksa, Shanaka, Hasaranga, Dananjaya, Kanuratane, Theekshana, Pathirana.
Bangladesh’s Recent Form
They’ll look back at their game against Afghanistan as a case of what might have been.
Had they scored another 15 runs, they may well have won. Had they taken just one more wicket in the final overs, they may have won.
Despite posting just 127, at one stage when defending, they were favourites as Afghanistan lost wickets and fell behind the run rate before a flurry of sixes downed Bangladesh and in the end it wasn’t quite as tight as it could have been.
The big problem was a failure by the top order to build a platform.
Their two big guns- Shakib Al-Hasan and Mushfiqur Rahim- were out for 11 and 1- and they never recovered from that.
With the ball, they put in a spirited effort with Shakib (1-13) brilliant as usual but he bowled his four overs too early in a bid to put their opponents under pressure and the other bowlers were more expensive.
There’s no quick fix other than just to hope they can bat better next time.
Bangladesh’s Likely XI
Naim, Haque, Shakib Al-Hasan, Rahim, Hossain, Mosaddek, Mahmudullah, Mahedi Hasan, Saifuddin, Mustafizur Rahman, Taskin Ahmed.
Sri Lanka vs Bangladesh Head-to-Head
The men in blue are streets ahead in the Sri Lanka vs Bangladesh head-to-head between these two and are currently 8-4 up.
The last time they played was at last year’s World Cup, with Sri Lanka nailing a tough chase of 172.
Unsurprisingly, that man Shakib is the highest wicket-taker in matches between the two over the years with 12 wickets.
Venue & Conditions
We’re in Dubai once again.
What do we know about this ground? Plenty.
Two of the last three IPLs were held here, as was last year’s World Cup.
We know that posting anything above 155 is going to be very competitive, though getting there is easier said than done. A par score is around the 140 mark.
But more important than that is the toss bias: how much of an advantage it is to bat first or second at a particular ground?
Well, there’s a huge toss bias and it’s for the chaser. It’s quickly becoming the case that winning the toss and chasing in Dubai is about 75% of the battle won before a ball is bowled.