Manchester Originals vs Welsh Fire Betting Winner Prediction
Recommended Bet: Back the Southern Brave to win @ 1.73 with Pure Win.
In terms of online cricket betting, the hosts, the Manchester Originals, are the slight favourites.
Given neither side has won in six attempts (both are 0 from 3), you could quite rightly say that they’re as bad as each other.
With almost half of the Group Stages now played, it’s ‘virtually’ impossible for either side to make the Playoffs from here and it will be ‘absolutely’ impossible for the loser of this match; they’ll simply have too much to do.
So with no form whatsoever to talk about for either side, we have to look for clues elsewhere as to who might win.
The first is that it was the Originals who won this match last year, the second is that the Originals are at home at a ground where knowledge of home conditions is particularly important and the third is that it’s the hosts who look a slightly better side on paper.
Not only are Jos Buttler and Andre Russell absolutely world-class players but the likes of Sean Abbott and Phil Salt are very reliable in this format, too.
If you go through the respective XIs, the Originals have not only more consistent players but also more game-changers who can win you the game from nowhere.
That’s enough reasons to side with the Originals.
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Manchester Originals vs Welsh Fire Hot Bet Prediction
Recommended Bet: Back Phil Salt to be Manchester Originals Top Batsman @ 4.5 with Betway
“In the Originals’ two matches so far this season, Butter top scored in one with 59 while Phil Salt, the other opener, top scored in the other game with 36.
As we know from our top batsman guide, a classy player opening the batting are two big boxes ticked and Salt ticks both of them.
Given Buttler is just 2.8 and Salt is almost twice the odds at 4.5, it makes perfect sense to go with Salt.”
If the above sounds familiar, it’s because that’s what I wrote ahead of the Original’s match against the Trent Rockets at the weekend.
Salt duly scored 70 not out, trumping Buttler’s 41 and handing us a lovely 4.5 winner.
So if Salt has now won 2/3 as Originals’ top batsman, has one more run (107) in total than Buttler (106) for the season, then why is Buttler 3.0 and Salt stil 4.5? A good question as to which the only answer can be that Buttler’s reputation precedes him.
So Salt carries on rating an excellent bet and that’s why we’re backing him again.
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Manchester Originals Likely XI
Buttler, Salt, Madsen, Russell, Walter, Evans, Stubbs, Abbott, Hartley, Klaasen, Parkinson
Welsh Fire Likely XI
Clarke, Banton, Hain, Duckett, Miller, Cobb, Pretorius, Zampa, Payne, Ball, Scrimshaw.
Venue & conditions
Of the four matches that were played at Old Trafford last season, only two of them resulted in a completed game.
The London Spirit posted 142/6, which the Originals weren’t able to chase, finishing six runs short. And the Originals then chased just 88 against the Phoenix.
There was also a no-result after the Originals got to 98/3 after 71 balls before the rain came and a game that was abandoned without a ball being bowled against the Superchargers.
In terms of this season, the Originals posted a very healthy 161/4 but the Superchargers chased it relatively comfortably, with six balls to spare.
Then at the weekend, the Originals posted a massive 189/3 only for the Trent Rockets to absolutely ace the chase and somehow get there with six balls to spare, which took some doing.
So it’s clearly a good track and going above 165 runs on the first innings runs line looks the way to go.
Even if the side batting first gets a big score, it may not well prove enough as we’ve seen twice this season already.
So it may pay to go with the chaser as an outsider in Live Betting at the halfway stage.