West Indies vs India Betting Winner Prediction
Recommended Bet: Back India to win @ 1.6 in Live Betting with Parimatch.
Despite having home advantage and India leaving out some big names as you can see from the team news/form section on India below, it’s very hard to make a case for the Windies, even at big odds of 3.15.
After all, simplistic as it sounds, how is a team who just lost 3-0 at home to Bangladesh expected to beat India?
India are in fine form, have a strong squad even with some absences and have found winning in the West Indies pretty easy over the last few years, particularly in Port of Spain.
It’s hard to see where the hosts have any sort of edge here because India are stronger in all three departments.
The Windies’ best chance is to bat first, get to about 270 and just hope the wicket turns and they can put some pressure on the men in blue that way.
But we’re strong on India and will use our old tried-and-tested strategy of looking for a bigger price on India in live betting.
Rather than taking skinny-looking odds of 1.35, we’ll hope the hosts start well with either bat or ball and that India reach 1.6 in live betting.
If they do great and you’ll have a good bet. If they don’t, no harm done and we’ll move on.
Have you read our Parimatch review? It tells you all you need to know about one of India’s best-loved betting sites.
West Indies vs India Betting Hot Bet Prediction
Recommended Bet: Back Jason Holder to be West Indies Top Bowler @ 4.5 with Betway
If betting on India in live betting at bigger prices than at the start of the match is an old trick, then so is betting on our old pal Jason Holder.
Holder occasionally wins the top batsman market at big odds but right now we’re interested in him as a bowler.
He was left out of the Series against Bangladesh and the Windies were made to regret that decision in losing 3-0 as big favourites.
So they’ve recalled Holder and that’s a good move.
His record in ODIs is good with a strike rate of 40.1, he generally bowls his 10 overs and very often at the death. All important boxes to tick when looking for a top bowler.
At odds of 4.25, he’s certainly worth chancing.
Remember to check our Betway review where we talk about one of India’s top betting sites in great depth, including all the advantages it has for you, the player.
West Indies Recent Form
The West Indies have found ODI cricket a real struggle in recent years.
They’re generally quite competitive in Tests, especially at home, and have their moments in T20Is where their power game is perfectly suited to the format and where their spinners often enjoy success.
But the 50-over game has not been their friend with batsmen struggling to keep the scoreboard ticking and too often only Shai Hope going on to get big scores.
Not that he did against Bangladesh anyway.
A 3-0 home loss to the Tigers over the past week or so is surely a low point in their history and it was worrying for Windies fans just how much better the visitors bowled and played spin.
Hope, for example, managed just 20 runs in three innings and only skipper Nicholas Pooran scored a fifty for them in three matches.
With the ball, only G Moti-Kanhai took more than two wickets in the Series and the promising Akeal Hossein had a poor Series by his standards, taking just one wicket and going at over 5 an over.
The Windies have now won just four of their last 15 games.
Three of those were against the Netherlands and one against Ireland so it’s really been a long time since they beat any of the stronger sides.
Worse still, they’ve now lost six in a row after losing 3-0 in India a couple of months ago and then 3-0 to Bangladesh.
All-rounder Jason Holder returns to the side to give them some much-needed balance, while Anderson Philip and Romario Shepherd pay the price for some quiet performances and have been left out.
West Indies’ Likely XI
Hope, King, Brooks, Carty, Pooran, Powell, Holder, Paul, Hossein, Motie, Joseph,
India Recent Form
India followed their T20 Series win against England with a win by the same 2-1 scoreline in the ODI leg.
They bowled pretty well to restrict England to what was probably just below a par score at Old Trafford with Hardik Pandya the surprising hero with four wickets.
In the chase they lost their top order cheaply but Pandya stepped up with the bat this time, playing an aggressive knock of 71 off 71.
But the main man with the bat was Rishabh Pant, who reminded us all what he can do on his day with a brilliant unbeaten 125, his first-ever ODI century.
From a really tough position, those two batted beautifully to win them the game.
So India will be glad to have won that Series after losing to South Africa earlier on in the year but there’s room for improvement.
As an example, the top order of Rohit Sharma, Shikhar Dhawan and Virat Kohli really struggled for runs.
Of those three, Dhawan, who will captain the side, is the only one to play in this Series with the other two rested. Kohli seems to be rested more often than selected these days.
KL Rahul is still injured while the likes of Pant, Jasprit Bumrah and Mohammed Shami are rested. As is Pandya, who is in the form of his life.
Sanju Samson, Ishan Kishan, Deepak Hooda and Arshdeep Singh are among those who have a chance to impress.
India’s Likely XI
Kishan, Dhawan, Yadav, Iyer, Samson, Hooda, Jadeja, Singh, Avesh Khan, Siraj, Chahal.
West Indies vs India Head-to-Head
These two have played each other 136 times over the years in ODIs and things are remarkably tight.
Indi have won 67, lost 63 and there have been four no results between them.
Interestingly, there have also been two ties, which as we know, are a real rarity in ODI cricket.
Of the 35 ODI games played in the Caribbean, the Windies have won 20 and lost 16 of them.
But it was very much one-way traffic when they played in India in February this year. Not only was it 3-0 India but they won all three games by big margins.
Venue & conditions
All three matches in this Series will be played in Port of Spain, Trinidad. So by the third match, we really should know what to expect from the surface.
It’s a ground that hasn’t been used in ODIs for a while, the last time being back in 2019. But, no pun intended, it’s not been a happy hunting ground for the Windies against India.
In fact, all four of the last matches played here were between the West Indies and India and the hosts didn’t win any of them.
Back in 2017, India won the Series 1-0 (the other game was a no-result) and then India came here to Port of Spain in 2019 and won both matches, as well.
India will badly miss Virat Kohli here. In his last three games here he scored 87, 120 and 114 not out, so clearly loves playing here.
Caribbean pitches are never straightforward to bat on but if it’s India batting first, they can get to 300 if they bat really well. Even 280 should prove too many for the West Indies.
But we may not get our full overs played out.
There’s about a 40% chance of rain throughout the day so the risk of a rain-reduced affair is a very real one.