Mumbai Indians Recent Form
Keep an eye on these pages over the next week or so for an in-depth analysis of where it all went wrong for Mumbai over the past three weeks.
From pre-tournament favourites to favourites to finish rock bottom, it’s not been a good start to the campaign for Mumbai, who are zero from six.
Unsurprisingly no other side has such a poor record, though today’s opponents come pretty close with just the one win from their six matches so far.
Last time out they conceded about 10 or 15 runs too many against Lucknow, in the process allowing KL Rahul to get to a century.
Having lost both openers cheaply- one of just many ongoing problems this season- at one stage they looked in the game as all of Dewald Brevis, Sky Yadav, Kieron Pollard and Tilak Varma made starts, but none of them kicked on.
There’s another of their problems, by the way. Players getting set and then not going on to get 70s and 80s.
The brilliant Sky Yadav has hit two fifties and Ishan Kishan started well, also hitting two, with Tilak Varma notching one.
But where are the big runs from Sharma and Pollard, to name but two?
Make no mistake about it: Mumbai’s race is run. Even winning all of their last eight in a row probably wouldn’t be enough for a Playoff place.
Whichever way you look at it, Mumbai need to make changes.
If they still believe they can qualify for the Playoffs, they need to pick their best side with a view to going on a big winning run.
And if they’re preparing for next season already, then they need to know who they can count on.
The first casualty is likely to be Tymal Mills. Six wickets in five games is good, an economy rate in excess of 11 is awful. Not what you expect from a senior overseas player.
One of Riley Meredith or Daniel Sams would be the obvious replacements for him.
They’re unlikely to give Tim David another go at the expense of Pollard but that’s unlikely given how highly they rate Pollard.
Fabian Allen should be given another game to try and make his mark.
Player to Watch: Sky Yadav
Had Yadav been available for the first two games of the season, they may have won them and things could have gone very differently for Mumbai. But he was injured and boy, did they miss him.
Since returning, he’s done his best to make up for lost time and despite playing two matches fewer than most of his Mumbai teammates, he’s already their top runscorer with 200 runs, thanks to scores of 52, 68, 43 and 37.
The big question mark is: where should he bat? He’s normally a number three but the emergence of youngster Brevis in that role has changed Mumbai’s thinking.
One solution could be to open with Brevis, play Sky at three and skipper Sharma at four.
Just as an aside, it’s also at number three he should be playing for India.
If that means leaving out Virat Kohli, so be it. His numbers both in the IPL and for India have been better than Kohli’s for a while now.
It’s 4.64 with 10CRIC he top scores for them here, not a bad price at all.
Have you read our 10CRIC review? It tells you everything you need to know about one of India’s best-loved betting sites.
Mumbai’s Likely XI
Sharma, Kishan, Brevis, Sky Yadav, Varma, Pollard, Allen, Uandkat, Ashwin, Meredith, Bumrah.
Chennai Super Kings’ Recent Form
If CSK had played that game against Gujarat on Sunday 10 times, with an hour to go they would have expected to win it nine times out of 10.
But they didn’t. They had runs on the board, they had Gujarat five down but couldn’t add David Miller to their list of dismissals.
What happened next was that Miller kept on going, Rashid Khan started finding the boundary as well and from a winning position, Chennai ended up losing the match.
When they look back at their 2022 campaign they’ll say they lost one close match too many, starting with that one.
Unlike Mumbai, their race isn’t completely run for two reasons: at least they have a win by this stage and are actually playing considerably better than the Indians, so may yet go on a big run.
But they’ve probably left themselves too much to do already.
Ruturaj Gaikwad got the first proper score of the season after being last year’s Orange Cap winner with a fine 73 where he looked back to his best. So he’ll keep his place for a while after being under pressure.
But the form of Moeen Ali is a problem.
He was one of their best players last season but in three of his last four knocks, he scored 0, 3 and 1, although admittedly the other score there was a good 48. He hasn’t bowled much and when he has, it hasn’t been particularly well.
It would be harsh to drop him after last season’s performances but he really is out of form.
They could bring in Devon Conway as an opener and bat Robin Uthappa at three.
The other move could be to bring in spinner Mitchell Santner or all-rounder Dwayne Pretorius for the struggling Chris Jordan.
Player to Watch: Dwayne Bravo
He hardly bats these days and heis fielding isn’t quite of the same standard as a few years ago but when it comes to bowling, Dwayne Bravo is still a force to be reckoned with.
With a combination of yorkers, wide yorkers, slower balls and cutters, you never know what you’re going to get with him.
But he’s been one of their few shining lights this season. He’s their top wicket-taker with 10 (next best is six) and has also taken important wickets.
It will be interesting to see if he’s still around next season but so far he’s doing his best to get himself a gig at CSK again next year.
He’s 3.3 with 10CRIC to be their top bowler.
Chennai’s Likely XI
Gaikwad, Conway, Uthappa, Rayudu, Dube, Jadeja, Dhoni, Bravo, Pretorius, Theekshan, Choudhary.
Venue & conditions
The DY Patil Stadium is one of the harder ones to work out.
We’ve seen teams get close to or past 200 and we’ve seen others being bowled out for about 150.
We’ve seen teams post big scores and defend them relatively easily and we’ve seen others post sub-par scores and watched them being easily chased.
If the team batting first posts around 175, it’s pretty much a 50/50 game but anything less than that is likely to be chased.
But fielding first isn’t quite the bonus here as it is at other grounds.