India vs South Africa Betting Winner Prediction
Recommended Bet: Back South Africa at 2.43 with Parimatch.
The first thing to say here is that the absences of Sharma, Kohli and Bumrah may actually be a good thing for India.
All three had IPL tournaments well below their usual standards, though Sky Yadav will be badly missed.
But the likes of Pant, Gaikwad and Kumar weren’t great either and we’ll have to wait and see how things go for Umran Malik, if he makes his debut.
It could be a similar story to the IPL where he either blows teams apart with his raw pace or goes for plenty of runs.
Keep on reading for the rest of the India team news.
The second thing to say is that India are on course to break the world record for most T20I wins in a row, given they’re currently tied with Afghanistan on 12.
That’s India, but how about SA?
Well, David Miller, Kagiso Rabada and to a lesser extent Anrich Nortje had good IPLs, de Kock and Markram were decent but not spectacular.
But a bowling attack of Ngidi, Rabada, Nortje and Shamsi is to be respected and assuming there isn’t a huge amount of spin on offer, you could argue they have the edge with the ball.
It may also play into SA’s hands that this could be a low-scoring match.
The average first innings score here in Delhi in T20Is is under 160 so a hard-fought, drawn-out match may play into the visitors’ hands, who rarely win high-scoring matches.
Key batsmen like Bavuma and Markram are accumulators, rather than smashers.
It’s true India won six in a row against the Windies and Sri Lanka earlier this year but it’s also true South Africa are a far more consistent side than those two.
At big odds, SA are worth a gamble.
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India’s Recent Form
After a disastrous T20 World Cup where they went in as favourites and failed to even make the semis, it’s been a far better set of results since.
They beat both of Sri Lanka and the West Indies 3-0 earlier this year but it should be remembered that both Series were at home and against opposition who has struggled themselves over the past few months.
So maybe those whitewashes aren’t quite as impressive as they look on paper.
But still. You can only beat the sides you’re up against and they played well in those Series wins.
All of Rohit Sharma (the usual skipper), Virat Kohli, Jasprit Bumrah and Sky Yadav miss out. The first three are rested, Yadav is still injured.
This will be a good opportunity to see the ultra-quick Umran Malik in action for the first time in India colours.
KL Rahul leads the side and we may see Ruturaj Gaikwad opening alongside him in one of the rare chances the CSK man has had to impress for his country.
South Africa’s Recent Form
South Africa were perhaps the unluckiest side at the World Cup. They won four out of five matches but missed out to Australia and England courtesy of an inferior net run rate.
What cost them was a defeat to Australia in their opening match when they were a little ‘cold’ but at least they recovered from that, including beating England in their final match.
And remarkably, that’s the last time they were in action in a T20I, preferring to play ODI Series against India and Bangladesh earlier this year at home, rather than the shortest format.
Whatever happens, their bowling looks strong with Lungi Ngidi, Anrich Nortje, Kagiso Rabada and Tabraiz Shamsi all available.
They resisted the temptation to call up Mumbai Indians hard-hitting batsman Dewald Brevis but youngster Tristan Stubbs, also of Mumbai, is on hold as a reserve wicket-keeper.
South Africa’s Likely XI
De Kock, Hendricks, Bavuma, van der Dussen, Markram, Miller, Pretorius, Rabada, Nortje, Shamsi, Ngidi.
India vs South Africa Head-to-Head
These two have played each other 15 times in T20Is with India 9-6 up over the years.
The last time they played was a 1-1 drawn series in India back in 2019 (the first match was abandoned) while before that, it was a 2-1 Series victory for India in South Africa.
Venue & conditions
We’re at the Arun Jaitley Stadium in Delhi for this one, a ground that has only ever been used six times in international T20I matches.
The first thing to say is that we shouldn’t expect too many runs here. The average first innings score is just 156 so it could pay to go below 165 runs on the side batting first when betting on the first innings runs market.
It’s a perfect 3/3 split in terms of the side batting first winning and the side chasing winning so there would appear to be no advantage to doing either, though the norm these days is normally to chase.
The biggest successful chase at the ground is just 159, though it is admittedly taken from a sample of matches (six).